The EURUSD pair crashed to its lowest trading level against the US dollar since 2017 last week, with traders now looking at the likely outcome that the euro currency is going to parity against the buck.
This week traders will look to news about the European Union, whom are yet to officially approve the oil embargo on Russia’s energy imports and the decision, which will affect the euro currency.
Market fears and rumours are also well-placed and justified over the potential for Finland to announce that is joining of NATO, which will almost certainly raise tensions with Russia.
Just to add to the worsening backdrop the euro we have worse than expected inflation figure last week, meaning CPI. However, it should be noted that PPI from the U.S. came in as expected.
The only saving grace is that the ECB has recently turned hawkish by highlighting the July rate hike, which may be needing if inflation in the eurozone continues to come in hot.
Even though the ECB is turning hawkish it should be noted that July is a long time away, and the EURUSD pair could still drop below parity before the important July meeting.
Something that is still worrying me equally or even more right now right now is that traders are not bearish towards the EURUSD at all. Sentiment is rising while the EURUSD pair looks like it’s going to drop.
The ActivTrader Market Sentiment tool shows that some 70 percent of traders are bullish towards the EURUSD. This is a marginal 5 percent decrease since last week. Sentiment is still too high.
EURUSD Short-Term Technical Analysis
The four-hour time frame shows that the EURUSD pair has been trending sharply lower and has fully activated a reasonable sized bearish head and shoulders pattern.
Interestingly, the target of the latest head and shoulders pattern appears to be the 1.0200 level. If we see the 1.3000 support level broken this week, watch out for a further crash.
See real-time quotes provided by our partner.
EURUSD Medium-Term Technical Analysis
Looking at the daily time frame things looks very bad for the EURUSD pair has now broken convincingly under the 2020 swing low, just or slightly above the 1.0500 level.
If the EURUSD pair continues to drop, and moves under the 1.0400 area this week, then watch for an attack towards the 1.0200 region or even below parity and the 0.9800 level.
See real-time quotes provided by our partner.
A comprehensive website for traders, both experienced and new! Checkout our content and learn how to invest and speculate in the markets using margin traded products. Our team of educators has extensive experience and is here to help. Enjoy!
© 2020 YouTrading UK - Leaders in Trader Training.
Cookie | Duration | Description |
---|---|---|
__cfduid | 1 month | The cookie is used by cdn services like CloudFare to identify individual clients behind a shared IP address and apply security settings on a per-client basis. It does not correspond to any user ID in the web application and does not store any personally identifiable information. |
_wpfuuid | 11 years | This cookie is used by the WPForms WordPress plugin. The cookie is used to allows the paid version of the plugin to connect entries by the same user and is used for some additional features like the Form Abandonment addon. |
cf_use_ob | This cookie is set by the provider Cloudflare content delivery network. This cookie is used for determining whether it should continue serving "Always Online" until the cookie expires. | |
cookielawinfo-checbox-analytics | 11 months | This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Analytics". |
cookielawinfo-checbox-functional | 11 months | The cookie is set by GDPR cookie consent to record the user consent for the cookies in the category "Functional". |
cookielawinfo-checbox-others | 11 months | This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Other. |
cookielawinfo-checkbox-advertisement | 1 year | The cookie is set by GDPR cookie consent to record the user consent for the cookies in the category "Advertisement". |
cookielawinfo-checkbox-necessary | 11 months | This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookies is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Necessary". |
cookielawinfo-checkbox-performance | 11 months | This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Performance". |
viewed_cookie_policy | 11 months | The cookie is set by the GDPR Cookie Consent plugin and is used to store whether or not user has consented to the use of cookies. It does not store any personal data. |
Cookie | Duration | Description |
---|---|---|
YSC | session | This cookies is set by Youtube and is used to track the views of embedded videos. |
Cookie | Duration | Description |
---|---|---|
_ga | 2 years | This cookie is installed by Google Analytics. The cookie is used to calculate visitor, session, campaign data and keep track of site usage for the site's analytics report. The cookies store information anonymously and assign a randomly generated number to identify unique visitors. |
_gid | 1 day | This cookie is installed by Google Analytics. The cookie is used to store information of how visitors use a website and helps in creating an analytics report of how the website is doing. The data collected including the number visitors, the source where they have come from, and the pages visted in an anonymous form. |
Cookie | Duration | Description |
---|---|---|
_fbp | 3 months | This cookie is set by Facebook to deliver advertisement when they are on Facebook or a digital platform powered by Facebook advertising after visiting this website. |
fr | 3 months | The cookie is set by Facebook to show relevant advertisments to the users and measure and improve the advertisements. The cookie also tracks the behavior of the user across the web on sites that have Facebook pixel or Facebook social plugin. |
IDE | 1 year 24 days | Used by Google DoubleClick and stores information about how the user uses the website and any other advertisement before visiting the website. This is used to present users with ads that are relevant to them according to the user profile. |
test_cookie | 15 minutes | This cookie is set by doubleclick.net. The purpose of the cookie is to determine if the user's browser supports cookies. |
VISITOR_INFO1_LIVE | 5 months 27 days | This cookie is set by Youtube. Used to track the information of the embedded YouTube videos on a website. |
Cookie | Duration | Description |
---|---|---|
_gat_UA-42160853-2 | 1 minute | No description |
cf_ob_info | No description | |
CONSENT | 16 years 8 months 3 days 6 hours 2 minutes | No description |