The FTSE100 continues to push close to the 7,500 level, meaning a major breakout or major reversal is looming, which marks a critical time for the direction of UK stocks leading into year-end.
Q4 results are coming in thick and fast. This week we see Q4 easyJet results. Shareholders will be hoping that this target is achieved, even though recent experience has shown that easyJet can barely cope with current capacity levels at some airports.
EasyJet is expected to post a full-year loss of between £170m and £ 190m, including incremental disruption costs of £75m, which is linked primarily to operational issues in Q3.
While the FTSE100 as a whole is unlikely to rise a whole based on easyJet results it will be an interesting benchmark for consumption and how post COVID-19 Britain continues to fare.
Sentiment has turned bearish again, which could be great for further price gains ahead for the UK100. With retail looking to short we could start to see the UK100 nudging above 7,500 this week.
In an ideal world sentiment should be heading in the opposite direction of the trade. This is because retail traders are normally on the wrong side of the trade, and especially price trends.
Based on the current sentiment reading I think it is highly probable that we could see the upside starting to gain momentum. The technical patterns are also suggesting the same.
UK100 Short-Term Technical Analysis
According to the four-hour time frame the UK100 has invalidated a head and shoulders pattern. The invalidation is still very premature, so more upsides does make sense.
The size of the invalidated pattern implies that we are about to see a move to upside of over 200 points if we start to break the 7,500 level. I would suggest keeping a close watch on the 7,500 level as 7,650 could incoming.
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UK100 Medium-Term Technical Analysis
The daily time frame shows that a large wedge-shaped pattern is in play. The UK100 has also moved to test its key 200-day moving average, meaning the trend is still unclear.
If we see the UK100 staying below the 7,330 level, which is a key market pivot, I would suggest that we could easily start to see the UK100 trading towards the 7,700-price area again if the 200-day holds downside attacks.
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