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Midday Brief – NFP takes focus post the Central bank’s rate decisions

by Nathan Batchelor
6 May 2022
in Markets
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NFP Preview: How markets might react…
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The markets extended losses after a major selloff on Thursday ahead of the US Employment data print. The selloff comes at a time when central banks continue to battle in the near term. The report will be a critical indicator in justifying Fed’s aggressive stance as growth fears ripple through the markets.

The BoE rate hike was engulfed by the Fed FOMC meeting and EU sanctions on Russian oil continue to underpin the Pound’s strength.

The dollar trimmed gains by -0.25% as investors shifted focus to the US Job data report. The Dollar Index retreated from a 104.06 level, a high last seen in December of 2002, post FOMC rate hike rally on Thursday. April NFP data is expected to come negative at 390 000 vs the previous 431 000, while the average hourly earnings YoY will be critical as inflationary pressure rises.

GBPCHF trades lower by -0.18% early European session post-BoE rate hike on Thursday. There is a general weakness in the pound as BoE indicates less concern for short-term market volatility.

Critical areas to watch are 1.22038 resistance and 1.2107 support. A break below the current support may send the pair down to 1.20703, last month`s support. Traders focus on the BOE MPC members Catherine L and Pill’s speeches due for release in the New York session.

EURCAD extended gains by +0.40% ahead of Canadian employment data and Ivey PMI data. The pair was boosted by ECB hawkish sentiments as bulls maintain a 1.34836 support and are capped by the 1.3600 psychological figure in the near term.

The AUDUSD resumed a bearish movement after the Dollar made a sharp U-turn yesterday following an aggressive rate hike on Wednesday by the FOMC. The pair has lost -0.29% and upside movement is capped by resistance at 0.71319. Traders, however, should pay attention to the upcoming US jobs data later in the day.

European stocks continue to plummet as EU sanctions on Russian oil weigh on Eurozone inflation worries. FTSE 100 dropped by -0.92%, breaking below a 6-day low at 7450 and can go lower towards 7400. CAC 40 tanked by -1.45% and the next critical area to watch out for is the 6100 area. DAX extended losses by -1.43 % as bears target 13200.

The US equities futures are under bearish pressure ahead of the US Jobs report. S&P 500 futures plunged by -0.69% pre-opening as bulls struggle to hold above 4100 support. Nasdaq futures dropped by -1.01% and a break below 12770.00 may see bears targeting 12000.00. The Dow Jones futures were down by -0.50% as 33000 support failed to hold. The next critical support is at 32250.00, a 14-months low.

In commodities, Brent surged by +2.17% as bulls target 114.75, a 5-week high. A break above that area may open the way for 120.00 high. USWTI rose by +1.71% as bulls target 115.00, a 7-week high. Bulls are capped by a 110 near-term resistance.

Tags: CommodityFOMCGBPNFPStocks
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