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С 18-го по 22-е января фондовые рынки снова продемонстрировали свою силу.
За неделю Dow Jones прибавил 0,59%, S&P 500 вырос на 1,94%, а высокотехнологичный Nasdaq подскочил на 4,19%, показав лучший недельный результат с 6 ноября.
Компании группы FAANG снова вышли на передний план после сногсшибательного скачка акций Netflix на 17%, последовавшего за квартальным отчетом оператора потокового телевидения. Акции Microsoft и Facebook дорожают в преддверии оглашения результатов, а Morgan Stanley повысил целевую цену для Apple, объявив себя «покупателями, опередившими то, что мы ожидаем от рекордной цены за декабрь».
Результаты квартала могут подтолкнуть совокупную рыночную капитализацию FAANG, куда входят согласно аббревиатуре компании Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix и родительского Google Alphabet, обратно к их рекордному пику в $6,16 трлн.
В то же время некоторые участники рынка заявляют, что поскольку оценки акций приближаются к уровням, невиданным за последние два десятилетия, новые варианты COVID-19 и сбои в развертывании вакцины представляют собой краткосрочные риски для акций.
Президент Джо Байден заявил в пятницу, что экономический кризис в США углубляется, и что правительству необходимо принять серьезные меры, чтобы помочь американцам.
Общеевропейский индекс STOXX 600 показал более скромный недельный рост, составивший 0,2%.
Опрос Европейского центрального банка показал, что экономика зоны евро, вероятно, восстановится в этом году — но более медленными темпами, чем ожидалось всего несколько месяцев назад, прежде чем восполнить утраченные позиции в 2022 году.
Доминирующая в блоке сфера услуг сильно пострадала из-за того, что общественные места были вынуждены оставаться закрытыми, но производство оставалось сильным, поскольку фабрики в основном работали.
Составной индекс менеджеров по закупкам (PMI) IHS Markit для еврозоны упал ниже отметки 50, отделяющей рост от сокращения, достигнув 47,5 в январе с 49,1 в декабре.
На следующей неделе появятся предварительные данные по ВВП за 4 квартал из Франции, Испании и Германии. Инвесторам и трейдерам также следует обратить внимание на январские показатели инфляции в Германии, выходящие в четверг.
Ожидается, что европейские фирмы STOXX 600 сообщат о падении прибыли на 26% в течение только что начавшегося сезона отчетности четвертого квартала. В то же время рынок, как правило, смотрит вперед, где с января по март 2021 года прогнозируется скачок прибыли на 44%.
Четвертую неделю подряд растет рынок Гонконга благодаря притоку денег из Китая – за отчетную пятидневку индекс Hang Seng прибавил более 3% и приближается к рекордному уровню 30 000.
Китайские голубые фишки также выросли, прибавив за тот же период чуть более 2%.
Санкции США не влияют на прочный фундамент некоторых крупных китайских компаний, коррекция на фондовом рынке сделала оценку еще более привлекательной
— сказала Кэри Ли, экономист OCBC Wing Hang Bank в Гонконге.
Японские акции, уже давно поднявшиеся до 30-летних максимумов, в пятницу немного отступили.
Падение в пятницу в основном связано с фиксацией прибыли после того, как акции США достигли новых максимумов. Инвесторы также воздерживаются от покупок в преддверии отчетов о прибыли на следующей неделе
— сказал Хидеюки Исигуро, старший стратег Daiwa Securities.
С 25-го января начнет свою работу Всемирный экономический форум в Давосе. Однако в этом году 51-й по счету глобальный форум будет проходить виртуально, так что сильные мира сего будут наблюдать красоты горнолыжного швейцарского курорта только на своих мониторах — так же, как и простые смертные.
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