{"id":6598,"date":"2021-04-16T08:10:00","date_gmt":"2021-04-16T07:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?p=6598"},"modified":"2021-04-16T15:39:53","modified_gmt":"2021-04-16T14:39:53","slug":"us-dollar-index-technical-analysis-bear-market-correction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/us-dollar-index-technical-analysis-bear-market-correction\/","title":{"rendered":"US Dollar Index Technical Analysis &#8211; Bear market correction"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"6598\" class=\"elementor elementor-6598\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-section-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-e8cdaf9 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"e8cdaf9\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-60f6a89\" data-id=\"60f6a89\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-abe11a4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"abe11a4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/3eIXPz1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">US Dollar Index<\/a> has failed to catch a break this week, despite very strong retail sales and consumer price index inflation data, which would invariably be bullish for the greenback during better days.<\/p><p>A high degree of negativity appears to have set in towards the US dollar, and this is most evident with the index\u2019s failure to recover above its trend defining 200-day moving average over recent trading sessions. The US dollar index have various opportunities and reasons to recovery but failed to do so.<\/p><p>It is possible that the recent multi-week move higher towards the 93.50 mark may have just been a correction within a very pronounced bear market. Fibonacci analysis is currently suggesting that this indeed could be the case.<\/p><p>The recent move higher in the US dollar index stopped at the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement level of the current 2021 low to the technically important July 2020 swing-high, around the 93.45 resistance level.<\/p><p>Typically, in bull or bear markets, a 50 percent correction will take place in order to let traders enter into the prevailing trend. This usually happens as traders book profits, and for the lack of better word, as trend exhaustion takes place.<\/p><p>If this is the case the US dollar index is set for heavy loss this year. The fact that the greenback is failing to rally on positive data speaks volumes. The market conviction that the FED will keep rates low and not interfere with QE is probably contributing to this.<\/p><p>I would like to add a caveat to the bearish outlook. If the FED were to shock markets and change current policy or policy language a huge market shock could take place. But until that time, the trend is once again bearish.<\/p><p>Some 56 percent of traders towards the US dollar index. The sentiment skew is not that large so I would probably take this current reading to mean that range bound trading contains could set in for a while.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-5e092ff elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"5e092ff\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-5042b4e\" data-id=\"5042b4e\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c116b19 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"c116b19\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-image\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/3eIXPz1\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"299\" height=\"108\" src=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/USDInd-chart.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-6601\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-fb51810 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"fb51810\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-27e8d23\" data-id=\"27e8d23\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-923fe09 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"923fe09\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><strong>US Dollar Index short-term Technical Analysis<\/strong><\/p><p>Looking at the one-hour time frame a large head and shoulders pattern has formed, following a continues price drop from the 93.45 level. The bearish pattern will be activated if the price slumps below the 91.66 level, placing the 90.00 level firmly in focus.<\/p><p>It is also noteworthy that the 50 percent correction of the 93.45 level to the current yearly low is found close to the neckline of the mentioned pattern, around the 91.55 level.<\/p><p>Fibonacci analysis shows that weakness under the 91.55 level could trigger additional weakness towards the 91.13 and 90.50 levels.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-336a25e elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"336a25e\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-a18d417\" data-id=\"a18d417\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f69d56c elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"f69d56c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-image\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/3eIXPz1\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1022\" height=\"566\" src=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/USDInd-4h.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-6602\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-69412b5 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"69412b5\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-4d32b45\" data-id=\"4d32b45\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e6ec398 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"e6ec398\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/3eIXPz1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-3694a9f elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"3694a9f\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-3699aa4\" data-id=\"3699aa4\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1ea9ce3 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1ea9ce3\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><strong>US Dollar Index Medium-term Technical Analysis<\/strong><\/p><p>According to the daily time frame, the US dollar index has two possible paths ahead. Either bulls are either building up for an attack towards the 94.85 level or a steep decline is coming after the pair simply staged a 50 percent bear market correction.<\/p><p>Downside targets for the index are found at the 87.50 and 86.00 levels, while the major upside objective above 94.85 is 98.80. Overall, medium-term bears are currently in control of the US dollar.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-46483db elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"46483db\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-fb98256\" data-id=\"fb98256\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-058a102 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"058a102\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-image\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/3eIXPz1\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1023\" height=\"569\" src=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/USDInd-1d.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-6603\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-9802fac elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"9802fac\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-cfbeda7\" data-id=\"cfbeda7\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-798a625 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"798a625\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/3eIXPz1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">See real-time quotes <\/a>provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The US Dollar Index has failed to catch a break this week, despite very strong retail sales and consumer price index inflation data, which would invariably be bullish for the greenback during better days. A high degree of negativity appears to have set in towards the US dollar, and this is most evident with the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":6599,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[5],"tags":[42,193,40],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v17.6 (Yoast SEO v20.11) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>US Dollar Index Technical Analysis - Bear market correction - Youtrading UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/us-dollar-index-technical-analysis-bear-market-correction\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US Dollar Index Technical Analysis - Bear market correction\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The US Dollar Index has failed to catch a break this week, despite very strong retail sales and consumer price index inflation data, which would invariably be bullish for the greenback during better days. A high degree of negativity appears to have set in towards the US dollar, and this is most evident with the [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/us-dollar-index-technical-analysis-bear-market-correction\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Youtrading UK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-04-16T07:10:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-04-16T14:39:53+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/photo-1616993254015-3d4ac86370a5.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"750\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"424\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Nathan Batchelor\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Nathan Batchelor\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/us-dollar-index-technical-analysis-bear-market-correction\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/us-dollar-index-technical-analysis-bear-market-correction\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Nathan Batchelor\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/88ce8e6688d6c690a83e6cbeee2eccab\"},\"headline\":\"US Dollar Index Technical Analysis &#8211; 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