{"id":46374,"date":"2023-06-09T12:36:00","date_gmt":"2023-06-09T11:36:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?p=46374"},"modified":"2023-06-09T17:39:52","modified_gmt":"2023-06-09T16:39:52","slug":"market-insight-fed-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/market-insight-fed-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"Market Insight &#8211; Fed Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"46374\" class=\"elementor elementor-46374\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-section-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-1948ffc elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"1948ffc\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-0e4f122\" data-id=\"0e4f122\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-40aad6a elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"40aad6a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>Next the Federal Reserve rate decision is set to be one the most highly anticipated of the year as the central bank is tipped to stop its recent cycle of rate hikes.<\/p><p>Notably, other global central banks have continued to raise rates, with the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada raising interest rates just this week alone.<\/p><p>Currently, the Fed RateWatch Tool shows just a 25 percent chance of rate hike, which shows the market has clear bias for the Fed to pause going into the June meeting.<\/p><p>Yesterday, the United States posted really bad jobs figures. This alone may make it really difficult for the Fed to hike as the unemployment rate is rising and initial claims data on a weekly basis spike.<\/p><p>Danske Bank is noting that they expect the Fed to hike next week. This is going against consensus forecast, so it is particularly interesting to hear the rationale behind the banks thoughts.<\/p><p>The team at Danske bank notes that \u201c<em>We expect the Fed to maintain rates unchanged next week, markets price in a modest 25% probability of a 25bp hike.<\/em>\u201d<\/p><p>And they state that the \u201c<em>Focus will be on communication around potential hike in July &amp; the updated dots. The Fed is unlikely to close the door for hikes, but we doubt they will materialize.<\/em>\u201d<\/p><p>Furthermore they add that \u201c<em>We see downside risks to consensus expectations for May <\/em><em>CPI and<\/em><em> forecast +0.2% m\/m (4.2% y\/y) for headline &amp; +0.3% m\/m (5.2% y\/y) for core.<\/em>\u201d<\/p><p>Just to add further clarity they confidently state that \u201c<em>We make no changes to our <\/em><em>forecasts and expect the Fed to maintain rates at the current level for the remainder of the year.<\/em><em>\u00a0A pause could pose near-term upside risks to <a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/2YAQOVh\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">EURUSD<\/a>, but we still maintain a bearish view on the cross towards H2.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Next the Federal Reserve rate decision is set to be one the most highly anticipated of the year as the central bank is tipped to stop its recent cycle of rate hikes. Notably, other global central banks have continued to raise rates, with the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada raising interest [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":32710,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[9],"tags":[42,567],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v17.6 (Yoast SEO v20.11) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Market Insight - Fed Preview - Youtrading UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/market-insight-fed-preview\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Market Insight - Fed Preview Market Insight - Fed Preview\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Next the Federal Reserve rate decision is set to be one the most highly anticipated of the year as the central bank is tipped to stop its recent cycle of rate hikes.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/market-insight-fed-preview\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Youtrading UK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-06-09T11:36:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-06-09T16:39:52+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/gettyimages-1308151210.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"600\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"377\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Nathan Batchelor\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Market Insight - Fed Preview Market Insight - Fed Preview\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Next the Federal Reserve rate decision is set to be one the most highly anticipated of the year as the central bank is tipped to stop its recent cycle of rate hikes.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Nathan Batchelor\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/market-insight-fed-preview\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/market-insight-fed-preview\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Nathan Batchelor\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/88ce8e6688d6c690a83e6cbeee2eccab\"},\"headline\":\"Market Insight &#8211; 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