{"id":28968,"date":"2022-05-26T08:59:00","date_gmt":"2022-05-26T07:59:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?p=28968"},"modified":"2022-05-28T01:06:42","modified_gmt":"2022-05-28T00:06:42","slug":"usdjpy-breaks-out-on-surprising-comments-from-the-boj","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdjpy-breaks-out-on-surprising-comments-from-the-boj\/","title":{"rendered":"USDJPY breaks out on surprising comments from the BoJ"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Market Brief<\/strong><\/p>

Yesterday\u2019s trading was very subdued due to the market waiting for a possible surprise in tone from the FOMC meeting minutes. As it turns out, the market had priced in all the data and didn\u2019t have to reconsider its positioning, as all the members were in favour of the last rate hike, and most are expecting the Fed to keep raising by 50bps over the next 2 meetings.<\/p>

The major indices<\/a> are mixed as the London session begins after the Wall St<\/a>. rally into the close last night. The Nasdaq<\/a> is up 1.48% in after-hours trading, whereas the FTSE100<\/a> initially softened by -0.20% before reversing to trade 1.12% higher at the time of writing.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Out of the major forex pairs, the USDJPY<\/a> has moved the most at the London open with a break of the rising channel and a push below yesterday\u2019s lows. The daily chart shows price action consolidating around the previous daily support and market structure and has broken lower than the inside candle pattern. A break lower than Tuesdays low and we could be pushing again towards the 120-124 consolidation area. We often get moves at the London open like this as traders do a lot of the days business within the first 15 minutes of the session. It\u2019s obvious to see that there was a real need to buy some yen or sell some US dollars.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The forex heatmap shows the US dollar mixed across the board whereas the yen is strong against the rest of the currencies. The only fundamental catalyst I could find for such a move was at 8.01am the Bank of Japan\u2019s Kuroda said when \u201cexiting easy policy, they will combine rate hike and balance sheet reduction through specific means, timing to be dependent on developments at that point\u201d. Which may be the first time the market has heard him talk of anything but easy monetary policy. This morning the BoJ offered to buy an unlimited amount of government bonds once again.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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I am not sure how long the drop in price will last, as the ActivTrader sentiment indicator shows an extreme level of traders are shorting the USDJPY. At 74% I would be looking for reasons to fade this, so if we get back above the reaction level at 8.00am this morning, I\u2019ll go long, with a stop below the nearest swing low.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The US dollar index<\/a> continues to trade below the old market structure and as the FOMC didn\u2019t mention the 75bps rate hikes, we could get a move lower in the greenback today. There won\u2019t be any influence from the Europeans though as the major financial districts are on a bank holiday.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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In the overnight session the PBOC set the USDCNH<\/a> mid-point at 6.6766 which was higher than the previous day and analysts\u2019 expectations. They also continue to inject CNY10bln into the monetary system via 7-day reverse repos, which has been a daily occurrence and relatively low compared to when the house builder Evergrande liquidity crisis was raging at the end of 2021. The main difference today was the PBoC\u2019s notice to promote credit lending to small firms with the idea of boosting financial institutions confidence when lending to small firms. A report today details how China\u2019s property market is weakening sharply in the wake of the Evergrande situation and the Chinese authorities clamp down on excessive borrowing. The recent COVID lockdowns are also dampening economic activity and growth, so I would expect more stimuli to come soon.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The AUDJPY <\/a>is also trading within a daily consolidation pattern with price action falling against the long-term momentum.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The ActivTrader sentiment tool is bearish and moving to the extremes. The relative sideways price action since the big drop on the 12th<\/sup> of May around the 90.0 level is annoying but I will continue to hold out for a close above the 9-period EMA with a risk:reward ratio of 1:2 trading to the long side, when the signals come.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Market Brief Yesterday\u2019s trading was very subdued due to the market waiting for a possible surprise in tone from the FOMC meeting minutes. As it turns out, the market had priced in all the data and didn\u2019t have to reconsider its positioning, as all the members were in favour of the last rate hike, and […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17581,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[74,606,40,103,22],"yoast_head":"\nUSDJPY breaks out on surprising comments from the BoJ - Youtrading UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdjpy-breaks-out-on-surprising-comments-from-the-boj\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"USDJPY breaks out on surprising comments from the BoJ USDJPY breaks out on surprising comments from the BoJ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The European markets are closed this morning due to bank holidays in Germany, Switzerland and France. However, we will get headlines from the last day of the WEF conference in Davos. Last night\u2019s FOMC meeting minutes came in as expected and the risk markets did rally into the US close. 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However, we will get headlines from the last day of the WEF conference in Davos. Last night\u2019s FOMC meeting minutes came in as expected and the risk markets did rally into the US close. This morning however we are seeing the global indices slowly resuming the upward bias as the London session progresses.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdjpy-breaks-out-on-surprising-comments-from-the-boj\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdjpy-breaks-out-on-surprising-comments-from-the-boj\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Neville Hornsey\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85\"},\"headline\":\"USDJPY breaks out on surprising comments from the BoJ\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-05-26T07:59:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-05-28T00:06:42+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdjpy-breaks-out-on-surprising-comments-from-the-boj\/\"},\"wordCount\":706,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"AUDJPY\",\"Chinese Yuan\",\"US DOLLAR INDEX\",\"USDCNH\",\"USDJPY\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Markets\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdjpy-breaks-out-on-surprising-comments-from-the-boj\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdjpy-breaks-out-on-surprising-comments-from-the-boj\/\",\"name\":\"USDJPY breaks out on surprising comments from the BoJ - Youtrading UK\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2022-05-26T07:59:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-05-28T00:06:42+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdjpy-breaks-out-on-surprising-comments-from-the-boj\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdjpy-breaks-out-on-surprising-comments-from-the-boj\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdjpy-breaks-out-on-surprising-comments-from-the-boj\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"USDJPY breaks out on surprising comments from the BoJ\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\",\"name\":\"Youtrading UK\",\"description\":\"Leaders in Trader Training\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\",\"name\":\"YouTrading\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Logo-Youtrading-2020_preto.svg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Logo-Youtrading-2020_preto.svg\",\"width\":2531,\"height\":570,\"caption\":\"YouTrading\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\",\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/youtrading_english\/\",\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCc22BNolZpSd33lXc8utUvg\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85\",\"name\":\"Neville Hornsey\",\"description\":\"Neville Hornsey holds a BA Honours 2.1 in Professional Media and has been a professional trader since 2007. 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