{"id":28631,"date":"2022-05-23T13:02:00","date_gmt":"2022-05-23T12:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?p=28631"},"modified":"2022-05-23T15:07:37","modified_gmt":"2022-05-23T14:07:37","slug":"the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Forex Analysis<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Several central banks have swung into monetary tightening mode, with notable exceptions from the Bank of Japan and the ECB. While it is trying to normalize monetary policy to combat the rise in inflation, the ECB has been hampered by the conflict in Ukraine. Recent developments have also led to concerns about a possible recession in Europe as indicators of investor sentiment like the German ZEW have reached post-pandemic lows. According to the latest economic forecasts by the European Commission, a severe contraction is thankfully not currently expected. If this week\u2019s Flash PMI data is positive, it may give the ECB some breathing room for them to adjust forward guidance and to allow them to start bringing inflation under control. The ECB is expected to raise interest rates at the end of Q3 2022. Today\u2019s bullish move in the EURUSD<\/a>\u00a0as the liquidity above the FOMC high from the 4th<\/sup> of May was taken, could see continued momentum as more buyer\u2019s step in. This is also reflected in the US dollar index<\/a>, which has also removed market structure, but to the downside.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The US dollar is weak against currencies with high betas such as the Australian<\/a> and New Zealand dollars but flows into the pound and euro show that this is a broader based move.<\/p>

This pullback in the US dollar supports the New Zealand dollar ahead of a hawkish RBNZ policy update at Wednesday’s policy meeting. The RBNZ was expected to slow the pace of rate hikes at the four remaining meetings for this year by delivering 25bps hikes at each meeting, which would take the bank rate up to 3% by the end of 2022. Analysts however are pushing more for greater moves by the RBNZ, so it will be interesting to see if they land closer to 4% by the end of the year.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The ActivTrader sentiment indicator shows that the traders on the platform are quite evenly balanced with regards to the NZDUSD<\/a>, with a positive bias creeping up. If this had been at an extreme level it would be easier to trade against the rest of the retail crowd but currently their bias is showing little conviction.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The big drop from the April 2022 highs didn\u2019t quite make it to 0.6200 and as with other US dollar crosses, we\u2019re now expecting the liquidity above the FOMC May meeting high to be taken. If this does occur like we saw in the EURUSD today, the next level of resistance would be around 0.6700-0.6750 and the daily 200 EMA. This would also be confluent with a 61.8% retracement and therefore a target that a lot of traders will be focusing on.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Forex Analysis See real-time quotes provided by our partner. Several central banks have swung into monetary tightening mode, with notable exceptions from the Bank of Japan and the ECB. While it is trying to normalize monetary policy to combat the rise in inflation, the ECB has been hampered by the conflict in Ukraine. Recent developments […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":14168,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[5],"tags":[330,18,20,200,53,22],"yoast_head":"\nThe NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar - Youtrading UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The US dollar is starting to lose a lot of support. The run in several currency pairs like the USDJPY and EURUSD have pushed these dollar crosses to levels not seen in a very long time. What we are seeing now is a pullback, due to profit-taking and uncertainty. The divergence in monetary policy should keep the long-term trend of higher US dollar versus yen going for longer, but the euro could become bid if the ECB flips to tightening, and the commodity pairs like the Kiwi will do well if the situation in China eases and the RBNZ keeps raising rates.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Youtrading UK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-05-23T12:02:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-05-23T14:07:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/GettyImages-1131200527.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"553\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"285\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"The US dollar is starting to lose a lot of support. The run in several currency pairs like the USDJPY and EURUSD have pushed these dollar crosses to levels not seen in a very long time. What we are seeing now is a pullback, due to profit-taking and uncertainty. The divergence in monetary policy should keep the long-term trend of higher US dollar versus yen going for longer, but the euro could become bid if the ECB flips to tightening, and the commodity pairs like the Kiwi will do well if the situation in China eases and the RBNZ keeps raising rates.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Neville Hornsey\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85\"},\"headline\":\"The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-05-23T12:02:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-05-23T14:07:37+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/\"},\"wordCount\":467,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"Central Banks\",\"EURUSD\",\"GBPUSD\",\"Monetary Policy\",\"NZDUSD\",\"USDJPY\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Forex\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/\",\"name\":\"The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar - Youtrading UK\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2022-05-23T12:02:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-05-23T14:07:37+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\",\"name\":\"Youtrading UK\",\"description\":\"Leaders in Trader Training\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\",\"name\":\"YouTrading\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Logo-Youtrading-2020_preto.svg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Logo-Youtrading-2020_preto.svg\",\"width\":2531,\"height\":570,\"caption\":\"YouTrading\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\",\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/youtrading_english\/\",\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCc22BNolZpSd33lXc8utUvg\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85\",\"name\":\"Neville Hornsey\",\"description\":\"Neville Hornsey holds a BA Honours 2.1 in Professional Media and has been a professional trader since 2007. Neville has worked for several brokerages and prop firms, specialising in the Foreign exchange and Futures markets and blends technical analysis with fundamentals, with a bias towards swing and intraday trade setups.\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/author\/nevillehornsey\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar - Youtrading UK","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/","og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar","og_description":"The US dollar is starting to lose a lot of support. The run in several currency pairs like the USDJPY and EURUSD have pushed these dollar crosses to levels not seen in a very long time. What we are seeing now is a pullback, due to profit-taking and uncertainty. The divergence in monetary policy should keep the long-term trend of higher US dollar versus yen going for longer, but the euro could become bid if the ECB flips to tightening, and the commodity pairs like the Kiwi will do well if the situation in China eases and the RBNZ keeps raising rates.","og_url":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/","og_site_name":"Youtrading UK","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/","article_published_time":"2022-05-23T12:02:00+00:00","article_modified_time":"2022-05-23T14:07:37+00:00","og_image":[{"width":553,"height":285,"url":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/GettyImages-1131200527.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Neville Hornsey","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_title":"The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar","twitter_description":"The US dollar is starting to lose a lot of support. The run in several currency pairs like the USDJPY and EURUSD have pushed these dollar crosses to levels not seen in a very long time. What we are seeing now is a pullback, due to profit-taking and uncertainty. The divergence in monetary policy should keep the long-term trend of higher US dollar versus yen going for longer, but the euro could become bid if the ECB flips to tightening, and the commodity pairs like the Kiwi will do well if the situation in China eases and the RBNZ keeps raising rates.","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Neville Hornsey","Estimated reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/"},"author":{"name":"Neville Hornsey","@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85"},"headline":"The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar","datePublished":"2022-05-23T12:02:00+00:00","dateModified":"2022-05-23T14:07:37+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/"},"wordCount":467,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization"},"keywords":["Central Banks","EURUSD","GBPUSD","Monetary Policy","NZDUSD","USDJPY"],"articleSection":["Forex"],"inLanguage":"en-GB"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/","url":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/","name":"The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar - Youtrading UK","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#website"},"datePublished":"2022-05-23T12:02:00+00:00","dateModified":"2022-05-23T14:07:37+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-GB","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-nzd-benefits-from-a-weaker-us-dollar\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"The NZD benefits from a weaker US dollar"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/","name":"Youtrading UK","description":"Leaders in Trader Training","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-GB"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization","name":"YouTrading","url":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-GB","@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Logo-Youtrading-2020_preto.svg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Logo-Youtrading-2020_preto.svg","width":2531,"height":570,"caption":"YouTrading"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/youtrading_english\/","https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCc22BNolZpSd33lXc8utUvg"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85","name":"Neville Hornsey","description":"Neville Hornsey holds a BA Honours 2.1 in Professional Media and has been a professional trader since 2007. Neville has worked for several brokerages and prop firms, specialising in the Foreign exchange and Futures markets and blends technical analysis with fundamentals, with a bias towards swing and intraday trade setups.","url":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/author\/nevillehornsey\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28631"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28631"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28631\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14168"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28631"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28631"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28631"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}