{"id":27396,"date":"2022-05-06T18:27:00","date_gmt":"2022-05-06T17:27:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?p=27396"},"modified":"2022-05-06T19:53:09","modified_gmt":"2022-05-06T18:53:09","slug":"stock-markets-drop-following-todays-us-nfp-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/stock-markets-drop-following-todays-us-nfp-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Stock Markets Drop Following Todays US NFP Data"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Market Wrap<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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All eyes were on this afternoon\u2019s US non-farm payroll report, which came out with a surprise to the upside for the month of April and a slight revision lower for the previous reading. The March adjustment means that for two consecutive months the number of jobs created hit 428K. The report found “widespread” job growth, led by gains in leisure and hospitality, manufacturing, and transportation and warehousing.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.6% but the concern of wages spiralling higher got squashed with this month\u2019s figure coming in as expected at 5.5% versus the previous 5.6%. In Fed Chair Powell\u2019s press conference, he mentioned the Employment Cost Index that the Fed look to for data on how rapidly the wages are increasing in the private sector versus the government. The wages are rising in both metrics, but private wages have been going up faster. Today\u2019s wage data will help reduce that increase in the ECI data. Earlier this week we saw ADP come in under expectations, so I am assuming that ADP gets revised slightly higher or that this latest NFP number drops a bit. Longer term trends point to 400K being the average monthly jobs creation.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The US stock markets continued to decline following on from yesterday\u2019s drop, though Apple<\/a> did its best to slow the fall. In today\u2019s video I said 4000 would be a great target to the downside on the S&P500<\/a>\u00a0but if we were to trip the stops above Wednesdays high we could get a rapid increase in price, amounting to a bear market rally. Those stops were not triggered, so the path of least resistance is still to the downside.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The Nasdaq<\/a> is looking particularly weaker with only 20% of companies within the index trading above their daily 200-period moving average. 12,500 may act as a level of support. But I would only consider selling the rips whilst we\u2019re in this environment.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The EURUSD<\/a> capitalised on some slight weakness that came into the US dollar following the jobs report, but I am expecting the highs we saw following the FOMC to hold and for a test lower than the range that formed in the preceding days and sessions earlier this week. A break of 1.04500 would signal the market’s intention to keep dropping despite the rhetoric coming out of the ECB and its governing council.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The number of bullish traders on the ActivTrader platform has come lower but the reading is still relatively high. When the final bull is stopped out in this squeeze, then I\u2019ll look for a reason to go long. The moves in the USDCNH<\/a> are hinting that the US dollar<\/a> is in great demand, or of short supply. This will keep the US dollar elevated and the Feds rate hikes will support this trend too.<\/p>

The policy divergence between the ECB and Fed will also help to keep the EURUSD lower, though following comments from ECB member de Galhau, German yields rose. Which helped the EURUSD find the 1.0600 level today.<\/p>

European Central Bank (ECB) member Francois Villeroy de Galhau said it is “reasonable” to raise interest rates to positive territory by the end of 2022. He added that the neutral nominal rate in the euro area is seen between 1% and 2% and noted that real rates are expected to stay “significantly negative and below neutral for some time.” A weak euro could jeopardize the ECB’s price stability goal, according to the Bank of France governor.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Crude oil<\/a> prices have broken out of the market contraction as the EU tries to agree on sanctions against Russian oil. Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, acknowledged that an oil embargo would be hard on Europe, but she insisted that it needs to end its energy dependence on Russia.<\/p>

Using the chart above, I\u2019ll be waiting for the test of $120 but would rather have seen a break lower rather than higher. Prices can correct over time (sideways range) as well as through price discovery. If Russian oil is now having to find a new home, the Russian wells will be shut in if they can\u2019t export it faster enough. The problem then is, restarting a well can take a considerable amount of time. Supply from OPEC+ is still being managed slowly higher, so if demand stays strong for energy, the missing Russian flows will be a supply shock and will send prices in crude higher.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Market Wrap All eyes were on this afternoon\u2019s US non-farm payroll report, which came out with a surprise to the upside for the month of April and a slight revision lower for the previous reading. The March adjustment means that for two consecutive months the number of jobs created hit 428K. The report found “widespread” […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":27398,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[58,18,42,277,27,306,378,638,67,279,48],"yoast_head":"\nStock Markets Drop Following Todays US NFP Data - Youtrading UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/stock-markets-drop-following-todays-us-nfp-data\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Stock Markets Drop Following Todays US NFP Data Stock Markets Drop Following Todays US NFP Data\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The global equities market is lower again and was led by the drop in the major US indices. NFP data was good. Wages data was good and unemployment rates were very encouraging. In the forex markets it is the Market Makers who have won today, as the big down, big up has now led to a big sideways into the London close.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/stock-markets-drop-following-todays-us-nfp-data\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Youtrading UK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-05-06T17:27:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-05-06T18:53:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/rsz_gettyimages-891848748_candles_trading_screen.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"525\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Stock Markets Drop Following Todays US NFP Data Stock Markets Drop Following Todays US NFP Data\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"The global equities market is lower again and was led by the drop in the major US indices. NFP data was good. Wages data was good and unemployment rates were very encouraging. In the forex markets it is the Market Makers who have won today, as the big down, big up has now led to a big sideways into the London close.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/stock-markets-drop-following-todays-us-nfp-data\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/stock-markets-drop-following-todays-us-nfp-data\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Neville Hornsey\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85\"},\"headline\":\"Stock Markets Drop Following Todays US NFP Data\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-05-06T17:27:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-05-06T18:53:09+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/stock-markets-drop-following-todays-us-nfp-data\/\"},\"wordCount\":772,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"Brent\",\"EURUSD\",\"Fed\",\"Indices\",\"NASDAQ\",\"NFP\",\"RUSSIA\",\"Sanctions\",\"US Dollar\",\"USA500\",\"WTI\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Markets\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/stock-markets-drop-following-todays-us-nfp-data\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/stock-markets-drop-following-todays-us-nfp-data\/\",\"name\":\"Stock Markets Drop Following Todays US NFP Data - Youtrading UK\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2022-05-06T17:27:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-05-06T18:53:09+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/stock-markets-drop-following-todays-us-nfp-data\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/stock-markets-drop-following-todays-us-nfp-data\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/stock-markets-drop-following-todays-us-nfp-data\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Stock Markets Drop Following Todays US NFP Data\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\",\"name\":\"Youtrading UK\",\"description\":\"Leaders in Trader Training\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\",\"name\":\"YouTrading\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Logo-Youtrading-2020_preto.svg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Logo-Youtrading-2020_preto.svg\",\"width\":2531,\"height\":570,\"caption\":\"YouTrading\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\",\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/youtrading_english\/\",\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCc22BNolZpSd33lXc8utUvg\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85\",\"name\":\"Neville Hornsey\",\"description\":\"Neville Hornsey holds a BA Honours 2.1 in Professional Media and has been a professional trader since 2007. 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