{"id":25779,"date":"2022-04-14T18:21:00","date_gmt":"2022-04-14T17:21:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?p=25779"},"modified":"2022-04-14T21:36:36","modified_gmt":"2022-04-14T20:36:36","slug":"russias-aggression-is-weighing-heavily-on-euro-confidence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/russias-aggression-is-weighing-heavily-on-euro-confidence\/","title":{"rendered":"Russia\u2019s aggression is weighing heavily on Euro confidence"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Market Wrap<\/strong><\/p>

Today\u2019s big news focus was around the ECB and their widely expected no change in monetary policy. What we did learn is that the asset purchase programme (APP) will be concluding around Q3 this year. With the taper completed that may then open the door for a rate hike or balance sheet reduction or maybe both. The ECB President Lagarde gave a very gloomy outlook for European sentiment and productivity with Russia\u2019s aggression in Ukraine as the biggest concern other than the rising and persistently high inflation.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The EURUSD<\/a> collapsed through the recent range sweeping the liquidity below 1.08054 before testing Tuesdays lows. 1.08500 or 1.0900 are still in play as levels of resistance and due to the nature of a thin holiday market, I fully expect the EURUSD to drift back into the range to test these levels. However, there could be a larger sell off from this level to the downside targeting the 1.07000 as traders look to de-risk ahead of the long weekend.<\/p>

The sentiment indicator on the ActivTrader platform is now up to 76% long so these traders are the target of the squeeze lower if it occurs.<\/p>

The US dollar index<\/a> is holding above the $100 level and the recent economic data will go some way to keeping it up there.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Where we heard President Lagarde say European sentiment is dropping we see the US consumer sentiment now bouncing. The initial jobless claims from the US came in higher than expected but the previous reading was reduced. US retail sales also came in under expectations but had a higher revision to the prior reading. Which suggests a more bullish theme for the long run.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The forex heatmap is trying its best to confuse everyone as it has for the entire week. There is still no clear direction in risk assets. However, we are seeing the precious metals now give up some of their gains from this week.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The sentiment indicator for silver<\/a> still shows a very crowded trade to the upside and these traders have been loving the rising silver markets. However, I did say earlier this week that the fall from these highs were the real pain trade as we revert to the mean and then possibly continue through the bottom of the range.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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I\u2019ll be waiting to see if these traders can close lower today and then head back to the daily 200 MA around the $24\/oz level. The stochastic could be signalling the top of this wave, and the RSI is showing momentum favours the downside from here.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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I though the build in inventories in the US would lead to a sharp decline in the Brent<\/a> contract today but for the 3rd<\/sup> day we see higher prices in energy.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The S&P500<\/a> looks like it still wants to come lower and test below the 4300 and fill in that imbalance from the mid-March break higher. The stochastic indicator can give the bulls some hope that a bounce may occur shortly, but there is still 52% of the companies within the benchmark index below their 200-day average. A drop in retail sales and a build in business inventories will probably lead to companies giving a weaker forward guidance this earnings season, which investors will see as bearish.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Market Wrap Today\u2019s big news focus was around the ECB and their widely expected no change in monetary policy. What we did learn is that the asset purchase programme (APP) will be concluding around Q3 this year. With the taper completed that may then open the door for a rate hike or balance sheet reduction […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":25781,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[58,229,54,18,28,200,639,49,279],"yoast_head":"\nRussia\u2019s aggression is weighing heavily on Euro confidence - Youtrading UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/russias-aggression-is-weighing-heavily-on-euro-confidence\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Russia\u2019s aggression is weighing heavily on Euro confidence Russia\u2019s aggression is weighing heavily on Euro confidence\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"As we come to the end of a short holiday week, with the Easter weekend likely to keep markets thin until Tuesday at least, I am expecting some squaring of positions and a certain amount of hedging flows at least. The day hasn\u2019t quite gone as planned with the EURUSD big drop occurring before finding weekly resistance and the US data has led to another drop in the US indices.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/russias-aggression-is-weighing-heavily-on-euro-confidence\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Youtrading UK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-04-14T17:21:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-04-14T20:36:36+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/GettyImages-1378276390.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"568\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"284\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Russia\u2019s aggression is weighing heavily on Euro confidence Russia\u2019s aggression is weighing heavily on Euro confidence\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"As we come to the end of a short holiday week, with the Easter weekend likely to keep markets thin until Tuesday at least, I am expecting some squaring of positions and a certain amount of hedging flows at least. The day hasn\u2019t quite gone as planned with the EURUSD big drop occurring before finding weekly resistance and the US data has led to another drop in the US indices.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/russias-aggression-is-weighing-heavily-on-euro-confidence\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/russias-aggression-is-weighing-heavily-on-euro-confidence\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Neville Hornsey\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85\"},\"headline\":\"Russia\u2019s aggression is weighing heavily on Euro confidence\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-04-14T17:21:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-04-14T20:36:36+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/russias-aggression-is-weighing-heavily-on-euro-confidence\/\"},\"wordCount\":578,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"Brent\",\"Christine Lagarde\",\"ECB\",\"EURUSD\",\"GOLD\",\"Monetary Policy\",\"OIL\",\"Silver\",\"USA500\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Markets\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/russias-aggression-is-weighing-heavily-on-euro-confidence\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/russias-aggression-is-weighing-heavily-on-euro-confidence\/\",\"name\":\"Russia\u2019s aggression is weighing heavily on Euro confidence - Youtrading UK\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2022-04-14T17:21:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-04-14T20:36:36+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/russias-aggression-is-weighing-heavily-on-euro-confidence\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/russias-aggression-is-weighing-heavily-on-euro-confidence\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/russias-aggression-is-weighing-heavily-on-euro-confidence\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Russia\u2019s aggression is weighing heavily on Euro confidence\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\",\"name\":\"Youtrading UK\",\"description\":\"Leaders in Trader Training\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\",\"name\":\"YouTrading\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Logo-Youtrading-2020_preto.svg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Logo-Youtrading-2020_preto.svg\",\"width\":2531,\"height\":570,\"caption\":\"YouTrading\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\",\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/youtrading_english\/\",\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCc22BNolZpSd33lXc8utUvg\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85\",\"name\":\"Neville Hornsey\",\"description\":\"Neville Hornsey holds a BA Honours 2.1 in Professional Media and has been a professional trader since 2007. 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