{"id":25442,"date":"2022-04-11T12:35:00","date_gmt":"2022-04-11T11:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?p=25442"},"modified":"2022-04-11T16:48:05","modified_gmt":"2022-04-11T15:48:05","slug":"the-eurusd-could-drop-a-lot-lower-on-uncertainty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-eurusd-could-drop-a-lot-lower-on-uncertainty\/","title":{"rendered":"The EURUSD could drop a lot lower on uncertainty"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Forex Analysis – EURUSD<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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At the start of this week’s trading, the euro opened with a brief rally, leading to an intra-day high of 1.0954. However, since then, it has given back most of those gains, dropping back below 1.0900. Last night’s euro volatility was primarily driven by the French presidential election’s first-round results.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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After more than 90% of the votes were counted, there was some initial relief as polls indicated President Macron won 28% of the vote to Le Pen’s 23%. However, Macron’s lead over Le Pen has narrowed since then. 99% of the votes have been counted at the time of writing and the Minist\u00e8re De I\u2019Int\u00e9rieur shows Macron with 27.6% of the vote. Compared with the opinion polls before the first round, President Macron now has a smaller lead. With President Macron’s narrow victory, fears remain that Le Pen might win the election in the second round on 24th April. To get a majority win there needs to be a shift above 50%.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The ActivTrader sentiment indicator shows that most traders on the platform trading the EURUSD<\/a> are long the euro, but one thing that should be noted is that the markets do not like uncertainty. Uncertainty is being ramped up with the possibility of Macron losing his position as well as the uncertainty around sanctions, energy, and war in Ukraine. So, it is highly likely that the euro comes lower and stops this bullish cohort out of their positions.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The price action is resting on an upward sloping trend line and my base case scenario is for that line to break, get retested and then for a continuation lower towards parity to ensue.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Forex Analysis – EURUSD See real-time quotes provided by our partner. At the start of this week’s trading, the euro opened with a brief rally, leading to an intra-day high of 1.0954. However, since then, it has given back most of those gains, dropping back below 1.0900. Last night’s euro volatility was primarily driven by […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":25444,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[5],"tags":[18,659],"yoast_head":"\nThe EURUSD could drop a lot lower on uncertainty - Youtrading UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-eurusd-could-drop-a-lot-lower-on-uncertainty\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The EURUSD could drop a lot lower on uncertainty The EURUSD could drop a lot lower on uncertainty\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The gap higher in the EURUSD has been filled, which was a bullish move. 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However, I am not waiting for a break lower than this morning\u2019s intraday lower to confirm my idea of a lower low in the EURUSD for the rest of this month.","og_url":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-eurusd-could-drop-a-lot-lower-on-uncertainty\/","og_site_name":"Youtrading UK","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/","article_published_time":"2022-04-11T11:35:00+00:00","article_modified_time":"2022-04-11T15:48:05+00:00","og_image":[{"width":492,"height":279,"url":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/GettyImages-1368808648.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Neville Hornsey","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_title":"The EURUSD could drop a lot lower on uncertainty The EURUSD could drop a lot lower on uncertainty","twitter_description":"The gap higher in the EURUSD has been filled, which was a bullish move. 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