{"id":22596,"date":"2022-02-18T07:05:00","date_gmt":"2022-02-18T07:05:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?p=22596"},"modified":"2022-02-18T15:39:38","modified_gmt":"2022-02-18T15:39:38","slug":"sp-500-technical-analysis-head-shoulder-watch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/sp-500-technical-analysis-head-shoulder-watch\/","title":{"rendered":"S&P 500 Technical Analysis – Head & Shoulder Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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The S&P500<\/a> has once again tumbled towards the 4,400-level due to the ongoing Ukraine\/Russia tensions and raft of hawkish FED speakers holding a more aggressive stance towards rate increases this week.<\/p>

A massive head and shoulders pattern is currently capturing traders\u2019 attention on the S&P500 as it is warning of more heavy losses ahead way below the psychological 4,000 support level.<\/p>

In terms of the likelihood of this pattern playing out, it really depends on the situation in the Ukraine, and just how bad it could it this conflict spills over into a serious war between western powers.<\/p>

As things stand, the downside potential is certainly there due to the weakening and technical backdrop, however, we also have to consider that any positive news could cause a major reversal.<\/p>

Lower time frame analysis shows that a potential double-bottom pattern is forming, so a technical rebound could be on the cards. The price action is also more bullish than one would expect if market participants truly believed a major conflict was going to start.<\/p>

Something else to consider is market sentiment. That ActivTrader sentiment platform shows that nearly 46 percent of traders are bullish towards this market. I believe this is a negative because negative sentiment is not high as you would expect.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Usually, we should look to fade sentiment extremes, which are currently not there. We probably need to see bearish sentiment to take hold before looking to buy the S&P 500.<\/p>

S&P 500 Short-Term Technical Analysis<\/strong><\/p>

The four-hour time frame shows that the S&P500 could be forming a major double-bottom pattern, so we do need to bear in the mind the upside risks.<\/p>

Downside risks are increased if the double-bottom pattern is negated, I would then expect a big drop towards the 3,800-support zone.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes\u00a0<\/a>provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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S&P 500 Medium-Term Technical Analysis<\/strong><\/p>

Looking at the daily time chart, the central focus remains a massive head and shoulders pattern, which is looming large over the S&P500 and threatening to break at any time if the Ukraine conflict worsens.<\/p>

A move under the 4,200 level is required to activate the massive bearish price patter which holds a 600-point downside target for the S&P500 index.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The S&P500 has once again tumbled towards the 4,400-level due to the ongoing Ukraine\/Russia tensions and raft of hawkish FED speakers holding a more aggressive stance towards rate increases this week. A massive head and shoulders pattern is currently capturing traders\u2019 attention on the S&P500 as it is warning of more heavy losses ahead way […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":15786,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[42,609,279],"yoast_head":"\nS&P 500 Technical Analysis - Head & Shoulder Watch - Youtrading UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/sp-500-technical-analysis-head-shoulder-watch\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"S&P 500 Technical Analysis - Head & Shoulder Watch S&P 500 Technical Analysis - Head & Shoulder Watch\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The S&P 500 has once again tumbled towards the 4,400-level due to the ongoing Ukraine\/Russia tensions and raft of hawkish FED speakers holding a more aggressive stance towards rate increases this week.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/sp-500-technical-analysis-head-shoulder-watch\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Youtrading UK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-02-18T07:05:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-02-18T15:39:38+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/GettyImages-1335447913-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"721\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"240\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Nathan Batchelor\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"S&P 500 Technical Analysis - 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