{"id":17188,"date":"2021-10-25T11:21:00","date_gmt":"2021-10-25T10:21:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?p=17188"},"modified":"2021-10-26T21:25:21","modified_gmt":"2021-10-26T20:25:21","slug":"gbpusd-volatility-is-set-to-increase-before-this-weeks-uk-budget","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/gbpusd-volatility-is-set-to-increase-before-this-weeks-uk-budget\/","title":{"rendered":"GBPUSD volatility is set to increase before this week’s UK budget"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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GBPUSD analysis<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Last Friday Fed Chair Powell came pretty close to saying the Fed had made a policy mistake as: \u201cThe risks are clearly now to longer and more persistent bottlenecks, and thus to higher inflation\u2026 Supply constraints and elevated inflation are likely to last longer than previously expected and well into next year, and the same is true for pressure on wages. If we were to see a risk of inflation moving persistently higher, we would certainly use our tools.\u201d<\/p>

Many on the FOMC have been calling for a tighter monetary policy and Powell even said that in September he felt that conditions had been met to change policy direction. The buying of emergency levels of asset purchases has been flagged for a reduction from the November meeting next week, with rate hike expectations moving closer to the end of 2022. We\u2019re in the blackout period before the FOMC so we won\u2019t be hearing from voting Fed members for a while, so technical traders will be looking for recent swing highs and lows to trade the ranges.<\/p>

In the period between the June FOMC meeting and early October, the US dollar<\/a> has been pricing in this highly likely Hawkish policy change. For the first time since summer, the dollar now appears to be in the process of rolling over in a decisive way. A hawkish Fed has possibly been fully priced into the market and we might also be starting to see long positions from June start to unwind.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Pound traders will be paying attention to the autumn Budget, which takes place on 27th October 2021. British media outlets are reporting that UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak intends to raise the minimum wage in the country to \u00a39.50 from \u00a38.91, and will also unfreeze public sector pay, reversing measures introduced last year because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Any additional income is obviously welcome to those suffering from higher household costs seen over the last year, but the fact is the more money in the system will be possibly chasing fewer goods as we\u2019re still seeing bottlenecks in supply chains.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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GBPUSD<\/a> sentiment is seeing a reduction in bearish sentiment coming back towards being more evenly spread and the GBPUSD price action is currently magnetised to the breakout level and the daily 200 ema.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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A break above the 1.3920 daily swing high would confirm a bullish reversal from the lows of September. For the bears the rising channel since September could break to the downside so keeping an eye on the daily 20 & 50 ema\u2019s will act as an early warning indicator of more downside. I favour moves to the upside in Cable as we\u2019re above the daily 200 ema with an aggressive breakout from 1.3800 being my next level of interest. That would then set up for a retest, continuation type trade, where the swing low on a smaller time frame would give traders a better risk to reward stop placement, rather than having a 100 pip stop ahead of the risk events.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

GBPUSD analysis See real-time quotes provided by our partner. Last Friday Fed Chair Powell came pretty close to saying the Fed had made a policy mistake as: \u201cThe risks are clearly now to longer and more persistent bottlenecks, and thus to higher inflation\u2026 Supply constraints and elevated inflation are likely to last longer than previously […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[5],"tags":[154,69,20],"yoast_head":"\nGBPUSD volatility is set to increase before this week's UK budget - Youtrading UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/gbpusd-volatility-is-set-to-increase-before-this-weeks-uk-budget\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"GBPUSD volatility is set to increase before this week's UK budget\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"GBPUSD analysis See real-time quotes provided by our partner. Last Friday Fed Chair Powell came pretty close to saying the Fed had made a policy mistake as: \u201cThe risks are clearly now to longer and more persistent bottlenecks, and thus to higher inflation\u2026 Supply constraints and elevated inflation are likely to last longer than previously […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/gbpusd-volatility-is-set-to-increase-before-this-weeks-uk-budget\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Youtrading UK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-10-25T10:21:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-10-26T20:25:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/GettyImages-514649268.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"690\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/gbpusd-volatility-is-set-to-increase-before-this-weeks-uk-budget\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/gbpusd-volatility-is-set-to-increase-before-this-weeks-uk-budget\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Neville Hornsey\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85\"},\"headline\":\"GBPUSD volatility is set to increase before this week’s UK budget\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-10-25T10:21:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-10-26T20:25:21+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/gbpusd-volatility-is-set-to-increase-before-this-weeks-uk-budget\/\"},\"wordCount\":533,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"DXY\",\"FOMC\",\"GBPUSD\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Forex\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/gbpusd-volatility-is-set-to-increase-before-this-weeks-uk-budget\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/gbpusd-volatility-is-set-to-increase-before-this-weeks-uk-budget\/\",\"name\":\"GBPUSD volatility is set to increase before this week's UK budget - 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