{"id":15857,"date":"2021-09-23T18:04:00","date_gmt":"2021-09-23T17:04:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?p=15857"},"modified":"2021-09-24T02:57:09","modified_gmt":"2021-09-24T01:57:09","slug":"worse-than-expected-jobless-claims-data-leads-to-a-weaker-us-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/worse-than-expected-jobless-claims-data-leads-to-a-weaker-us-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"Worse than expected jobless claims data leads to a weaker US dollar"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Market Wrap<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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An unexpected increase of initial jobless claims in the United States for two weeks in a row now is going against the market\u2019s expectations. The previous week was even revised higher adding insult to injury to those expecting the labour force to come back now that the kids are in school. Today\u2019s 351k is above the 4-week moving average which comes in at 335,750. Last night in Fed Chair Powell\u2019s FOMC press conference he said that a reasonably good jobs number at the start of October would be sufficient for him to recommend the FOMC starts tapering. In my opinion if this trend continues higher in the IJC it could throw a spanner in the taper wheels. Other data from the US which came in under expectations today was the US Markit Flash PMI for Manufacturing, Services, and the Composite. All three metrics slid slightly.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The constituents within the S&P500 all did reasonably well today with very few trading below their opening price at the UK close.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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With individual stocks coming in green this has obviously resulted in the price action trading higher today. One thing I have noticed is the S&P500<\/a> likes to move in 150-point ranges, so if the move has travelled that far in a day, week, or month, it may be advisable to be a bit more defensive. The next set up that I am looking for is to whether the price action stalls at these levels in the balance zone. If this area acts as resistance and we have some news out of China that Evergrande has missed bond payments, the markets could be in for a rough rise lower. Especially when we take into consideration the direction of travel for the Initial Jobless Claims.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The sentiment indicator on the ActivTrader platform is looking bullish and as this figure rises to an extreme, this could be the signal the market has topped out.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The US dollar index<\/a> appears to have broken market structure, so I am now looking for a test lower to the rising trend line. There are massive EURUSD<\/a> options expiries today so that may have a lot to do with today\u2019s US dollar action. No clear direction in the way the US debt ceiling, funding and infrastructure bills are heading will start to spook the holders of greenbacks too.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The softer US dollar and a slightly more hawkish Bank of England has resulted in the pound<\/a> rising into the first level of resistance that I am looking at for a possible reversal. 1.3800is still a target if the daily swing low we\u2019re currently testing doesn\u2019t cap price.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Market Wrap An unexpected increase of initial jobless claims in the United States for two weeks in a row now is going against the market\u2019s expectations. The previous week was even revised higher adding insult to injury to those expecting the labour force to come back now that the kids are in school. Today\u2019s 351k […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":15858,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[154,18,20,408,434,67,279],"yoast_head":"\nWorse than expected jobless claims data leads to a weaker US dollar - Youtrading UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/worse-than-expected-jobless-claims-data-leads-to-a-weaker-us-dollar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Worse than expected jobless claims data leads to a weaker US dollar\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Market Wrap An unexpected increase of initial jobless claims in the United States for two weeks in a row now is going against the market\u2019s expectations. The previous week was even revised higher adding insult to injury to those expecting the labour force to come back now that the kids are in school. Today\u2019s 351k […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/worse-than-expected-jobless-claims-data-leads-to-a-weaker-us-dollar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Youtrading UK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-09-23T17:04:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-09-24T01:57:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/GettyImages-1225962116.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"479\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"346\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/worse-than-expected-jobless-claims-data-leads-to-a-weaker-us-dollar\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/worse-than-expected-jobless-claims-data-leads-to-a-weaker-us-dollar\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Neville Hornsey\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85\"},\"headline\":\"Worse than expected jobless claims data leads to a weaker US dollar\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-09-23T17:04:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-09-24T01:57:09+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/worse-than-expected-jobless-claims-data-leads-to-a-weaker-us-dollar\/\"},\"wordCount\":479,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"DXY\",\"EURUSD\",\"GBPUSD\",\"Jobs data\",\"Macro-Economics\",\"US Dollar\",\"USA500\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Markets\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/worse-than-expected-jobless-claims-data-leads-to-a-weaker-us-dollar\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/worse-than-expected-jobless-claims-data-leads-to-a-weaker-us-dollar\/\",\"name\":\"Worse than expected jobless claims data leads to a weaker US dollar - 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