{"id":15677,"date":"2021-09-21T08:41:00","date_gmt":"2021-09-21T07:41:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?p=15677"},"modified":"2021-09-21T23:28:15","modified_gmt":"2021-09-21T22:28:15","slug":"the-rba-stick-with-their-current-monetary-policy-and-risk-markets-take-a-breather","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-rba-stick-with-their-current-monetary-policy-and-risk-markets-take-a-breather\/","title":{"rendered":"The RBA stick with their current monetary policy and risk markets take a breather"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Market Brief<\/strong><\/p>

The markets have paused after yesterday\u2019s correction due to increased bearish sentiment. In the overnight session the leader of Canada\u2019s opposition conceded defeat in the General Election, which gave the Canadian dollar a boost. Seems better the devil you know than the one you don\u2019t.<\/p>

Market analysts from ING and S&P are at odds with regards to the amount of intervention the Chinese authorities will give Evergrande. ING said they expect the Chinese government restructuring team to help the beleaguered Evergrande, whilst the Chairman of Evergrande said he was confident the company will \u2018walk out of darkest moment and deliver property projects\u2019 and that the company would fulfil responsibilities to buyers, investors and partners. S&P says they do not expect the Chinese government to provide any support.<\/p>

The US House Rules committee did not reconvene yesterday but the Democrats are due to deliver their government spending bill which includes provisions for the debt ceiling, today. If the debt ceiling could be lifted before a government shutdown the banks would be able to buy Treasuries, which is effectively a reserve drain. This would allow them to hold on to their tradeable products like equities and derivatives and this could slow any further stock market declines. Currently the leverage ratios are forcing banks and money managers to park $1.2trln with Fed in overnight reverse repos.<\/p>

The RBA held off from a rate hike during the September meeting and reiterated the comments of no rate hike until 2024. They\u2019ve reduced their asset purchases to A$4 billion a week and will continue at this rate until mid-February 2022.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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China is once again on holiday and with the conclusion of the Canadian elections the CAD is the strongest of the currencies this morning. The move out of the yen but not from the Swiss franc<\/a> indicates that this composition is not fully risk-on but looking at the equities markets there has been a slight bounce at support levels. The US dollar has also reversed from key resistance and if the selling continues and we get a dovish Fed, there is a chance that we could correct back to the $91.50 level.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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With the FOMC meeting and press conference tomorrow I am not expecting a big move in the US dollar <\/a>today but marking up a possible head and shoulders type of pattern may highlight key levels to watch in the coming sessions. A break of the neckline and we can expect a visit to $90 again. A test of the moving averages and then a move back above the potential right-hand shoulder and we\u2019re looking for stop runs to the upside.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Such is the power of the greenback to move the markets, the coming together of a weakening US dollar and a strengthening Canadian dollar<\/a> could actually see the biggest moves today in the forex markets. The Canadian dollar is nicknamed the \u2018Loonie\u2019 as it has a tendency to rip several hundred pips in a day.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The USDJPY<\/a> is still within a corrective wedge, so traders will have to wait for a clear breakout, retest, and continuation trade, with the probabilities of a rising trend remaining.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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A lot of talk has been around the daily 50 ema on the S&P500<\/a> which had acted as support 9 times prior to the sell off yesterday. Looking at the weekly chart the S&P500 is finding support at the 20-period ema which could act as better support due to its higher time frame. The chart above is the UK FTSE100<\/a> which has clearly tested the daily 200 ema and a move above yesterday\u2019s higher should at least open a trade back into the recent balance area between 7000 and 7091, which is capped by the daily 50 ema.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Market Brief The markets have paused after yesterday\u2019s correction due to increased bearish sentiment. In the overnight session the leader of Canada\u2019s opposition conceded defeat in the General Election, which gave the Canadian dollar a boost. Seems better the devil you know than the one you don\u2019t. Market analysts from ING and S&P are at […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":15678,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[57,318,40,279,31,22],"yoast_head":"\nThe RBA stick with their current monetary policy and risk markets take a breather - Youtrading UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-rba-stick-with-their-current-monetary-policy-and-risk-markets-take-a-breather\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The RBA stick with their current monetary policy and risk markets take a breather\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Market Brief The markets have paused after yesterday\u2019s correction due to increased bearish sentiment. In the overnight session the leader of Canada\u2019s opposition conceded defeat in the General Election, which gave the Canadian dollar a boost. Seems better the devil you know than the one you don\u2019t. Market analysts from ING and S&P are at […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-rba-stick-with-their-current-monetary-policy-and-risk-markets-take-a-breather\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Youtrading UK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-09-21T07:41:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-09-21T22:28:15+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/GettyImages-532283939.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"482\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"296\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-rba-stick-with-their-current-monetary-policy-and-risk-markets-take-a-breather\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-rba-stick-with-their-current-monetary-policy-and-risk-markets-take-a-breather\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Neville Hornsey\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85\"},\"headline\":\"The RBA stick with their current monetary policy and risk markets take a breather\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-09-21T07:41:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-09-21T22:28:15+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-rba-stick-with-their-current-monetary-policy-and-risk-markets-take-a-breather\/\"},\"wordCount\":667,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"FTSE100\",\"RBA\",\"US DOLLAR INDEX\",\"USA500\",\"USDCAD\",\"USDJPY\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Markets\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-rba-stick-with-their-current-monetary-policy-and-risk-markets-take-a-breather\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/the-rba-stick-with-their-current-monetary-policy-and-risk-markets-take-a-breather\/\",\"name\":\"The RBA stick with their current monetary policy and risk markets take a breather - 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