{"id":12739,"date":"2021-07-29T12:06:00","date_gmt":"2021-07-29T11:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?p=12739"},"modified":"2021-07-29T21:49:27","modified_gmt":"2021-07-29T20:49:27","slug":"usdcad-breakdown-retest-continuation-trade-setup","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdcad-breakdown-retest-continuation-trade-setup\/","title":{"rendered":"USDCAD Breakdown-Retest-Continuation trade setup"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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USDCAD Forex Analysis<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Last night the FOMC left rates and the pace of asset purchases unchanged and Fed Chair Powell was perceived to be more Dovish than in the previous 2 meetings. The post-meeting statement stated, \u201cthe economy has made progress\u201d (but not substantial) and that the committee would continue to assess progress \u201cin coming meetings\u201d. The statement reiterated that inflation is still \u201ctransitory\u201d and likely to stay above 2% for longer. Analysts this morning are talking up a possible rate hike announcement in December with the Jackson Hole symposium being the next potential talk of taper opportunity. Chair Powell has often said that the forward guidance would come very early. The market reaction has been to sell the US dollar rather than take analysts Hawkish view for a December tightening of policy. Which has been great for the bounce in the commodity pairs and materials.<\/p>

Today\u2019s GDP data release could show that the US economy is back and surpassed the pre-pandemic levels. Before the FOMC conclusion Canadian CPI came in lower than market estimates at 0.3% m\/m and 1.7% y\/y but this didn\u2019t have a negative impact on the CAD.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Traders sentiment on the ActivTrader platform is very bullish the USDCAD<\/a> and with 80% long, I am keen to look for reasons to fade these positions with a short.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The weakening US dollar has been supportive for the energy complex, with Oil<\/a> now finding it easier to breakout of the recent consolidation range. Oil is trading above the 20, 50 and 200 exponential moving averages and momentum is still pointing higher. Price would need to get back above the recent swing high to make a bullish structure, so the USDCAD isn\u2019t guaranteed to drop just yet.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The USDCAD daily chart shows price now under the 200 ema and finding support between the 20 and 50 period moving averages. The rising trend line from the start of June has been broken so there could be a trade on the retest of that, ready for a continuation lower.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Using the H4 chart, it is clear to see that price has currently found support at the 200 ema, and that if we were to rise back up and test the breakout level of the trend line, the 20 and 50 period ema\u2019s would be the resistance levels to trade short from. Timing the trade on the H4 could be done using the stochastic oscillator which I have set to 10,3,3 and a reading above 70 would be the signal to get ready for a reversal candle.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USDCAD Forex Analysis Last night the FOMC left rates and the pace of asset purchases unchanged and Fed Chair Powell was perceived to be more Dovish than in the previous 2 meetings. The post-meeting statement stated, \u201cthe economy has made progress\u201d (but not substantial) and that the committee would continue to assess progress \u201cin coming […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":12740,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[5],"tags":[64,69,67,31],"yoast_head":"\nUSDCAD Breakdown-Retest-Continuation trade setup - Youtrading UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdcad-breakdown-retest-continuation-trade-setup\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"USDCAD Breakdown-Retest-Continuation trade setup\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"USDCAD Forex Analysis Last night the FOMC left rates and the pace of asset purchases unchanged and Fed Chair Powell was perceived to be more Dovish than in the previous 2 meetings. The post-meeting statement stated, \u201cthe economy has made progress\u201d (but not substantial) and that the committee would continue to assess progress \u201cin coming […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdcad-breakdown-retest-continuation-trade-setup\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Youtrading UK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-07-29T11:06:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-07-29T20:49:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GettyImages-1203552643.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"509\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"303\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdcad-breakdown-retest-continuation-trade-setup\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdcad-breakdown-retest-continuation-trade-setup\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Neville Hornsey\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85\"},\"headline\":\"USDCAD Breakdown-Retest-Continuation trade setup\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-07-29T11:06:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-07-29T20:49:27+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdcad-breakdown-retest-continuation-trade-setup\/\"},\"wordCount\":439,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"Crude oil\",\"FOMC\",\"US Dollar\",\"USDCAD\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Forex\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdcad-breakdown-retest-continuation-trade-setup\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdcad-breakdown-retest-continuation-trade-setup\/\",\"name\":\"USDCAD Breakdown-Retest-Continuation trade setup - Youtrading UK\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2021-07-29T11:06:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-07-29T20:49:27+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdcad-breakdown-retest-continuation-trade-setup\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdcad-breakdown-retest-continuation-trade-setup\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdcad-breakdown-retest-continuation-trade-setup\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"USDCAD Breakdown-Retest-Continuation trade setup\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\",\"name\":\"Youtrading UK\",\"description\":\"Leaders in Trader Training\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\",\"name\":\"YouTrading\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Logo-Youtrading-2020_preto.svg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Logo-Youtrading-2020_preto.svg\",\"width\":2531,\"height\":570,\"caption\":\"YouTrading\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\",\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/youtrading_english\/\",\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCc22BNolZpSd33lXc8utUvg\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85\",\"name\":\"Neville Hornsey\",\"description\":\"Neville Hornsey holds a BA Honours 2.1 in Professional Media and has been a professional trader since 2007. Neville has worked for several brokerages and prop firms, specialising in the Foreign exchange and Futures markets and blends technical analysis with fundamentals, with a bias towards swing and intraday trade setups.\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/author\/nevillehornsey\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"USDCAD Breakdown-Retest-Continuation trade setup - Youtrading UK","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdcad-breakdown-retest-continuation-trade-setup\/","og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"USDCAD Breakdown-Retest-Continuation trade setup","og_description":"USDCAD Forex Analysis Last night the FOMC left rates and the pace of asset purchases unchanged and Fed Chair Powell was perceived to be more Dovish than in the previous 2 meetings. 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