{"id":12468,"date":"2021-07-26T12:27:00","date_gmt":"2021-07-26T11:27:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?p=12468"},"modified":"2021-07-26T15:24:44","modified_gmt":"2021-07-26T14:24:44","slug":"usdjpy-sideways-but-can-it-break-back-above-111-00","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdjpy-sideways-but-can-it-break-back-above-111-00\/","title":{"rendered":"USDJPY sideways, but can it break back above 111.00?"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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USDJPY Forex Analysis<\/strong><\/p>

The 1-day outlook for USDJPY<\/a> is sideways as traders wait for the FOMC on Wednesday, GDP data from the USA on Thursday and then the inflation data on Friday.<\/p>

Last week ended well for the USDJPY, having seen it dip down to the support area of 109.00-109.20, but the slight risk-off tone to the start of this week has seen a move into the yen today and out of the risk sensitive commodity pairs and equities.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
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The Swiss franc<\/a> is not stronger against a few pairs including the pound so it\u2019s not an entirely risk-off move into the yen.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Support for USJPY comes in around 110.00 109.96 and this needs to hold to keep the immediate price action moving higher. A clear line in the sand for the bears would be the weekly 20 period exponential moving average. But for now, USDJPY continues to move higher towards June\u2019s 110.70-111.65, swing high.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The daily Ichimoku cloud is also a good gauge of whether price action is breaking down, as since the break higher at the start of 2021, this indicator has been showing where good support structures reside.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
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The ActivTrader sentiment indicator is showing a fairly balanced sentiment between the bulls and the bears so it would be hard to fade a move either way currently.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The RSI is reflecting the sentiment indicator as is the MACD with both oscillators pointing to a flat market. However, the Stochastic oscillator set to 10,3,3 has been in the overbought zone several times on the daily time frame, so a cross below the mid-point could be the first time it indicates a bear move in the last 12 months. Until then I am going to assume that readings above 70 are a continuation of the bull move rather than an extreme overbought reading.<\/p>

Fundamentally a lot would change on Wednesday if the FOMC are more definitely Hawkish. Words around rate rises, tapering of assets would see the US dollar<\/a> jump. This is unlikely though, as current consensus is that they are just going a bit less Dovish.<\/p>

With the Fed purchasing $120bn worth of US Treasuries<\/a> and MBS per month, market analysts are concluding that we\u2019re nearing the end of that policy as they don\u2019t see it having much more room to run. The US Treasury is reducing issuance of debt and the US Congress will have to decide soon on whether to suspend, reduce, or increase the debt ceiling this month, or risk defaulting on payments to the Federal employees and services.<\/p>

In recent commentary Chair Powell stated that achieving \u201csubstantial further progress\u201d and achieving the goals on inflation and employment required to start tapering, was still \u201ca ways off\u201d. It would be difficult to drop that now given that comment was made after the blow out NFP and high CPI data. Jackson Hole in August and the FOMC in September could\u00a0be the key events to set up the start of QE tapering either at the September meeting or the meeting in early November.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USDJPY Forex Analysis The 1-day outlook for USDJPY is sideways as traders wait for the FOMC on Wednesday, GDP data from the USA on Thursday and then the inflation data on Friday. Last week ended well for the USDJPY, having seen it dip down to the support area of 109.00-109.20, but the slight risk-off tone […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":12470,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[5],"tags":[69,67,71,22],"yoast_head":"\nUSDJPY sideways, but can it break back above 111.00? - Youtrading UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/usdjpy-sideways-but-can-it-break-back-above-111-00\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"USDJPY sideways, but can it break back above 111.00?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"USDJPY Forex Analysis The 1-day outlook for USDJPY is sideways as traders wait for the FOMC on Wednesday, GDP data from the USA on Thursday and then the inflation data on Friday. 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