{"id":12210,"date":"2021-07-21T08:25:00","date_gmt":"2021-07-21T07:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/?p=12210"},"modified":"2021-07-22T00:04:22","modified_gmt":"2021-07-21T23:04:22","slug":"japanese-export-data-is-bullish-but-todays-markets-start-risk-off","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/japanese-export-data-is-bullish-but-todays-markets-start-risk-off\/","title":{"rendered":"Japanese export data is bullish, but today\u2019s markets start risk-off"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Daily Brief<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Has sentiment changed? Yesterday was a respite for the correction, todays forex heatmap looks to have returned to risk-off as the Swiss franc<\/a>, US dollar<\/a> and Japanese yen<\/a> are all finding bids ahead of the London open and commodity pairs are depreciating. When this happened previously the equities tumbled a couple of percent easily.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Using the NDX chart which only trades the US session it is easy to see what signals can be derived from pure price action. On the Risk-Off days in the forex market the London session would have given rise to the US equites, only to see the US open give the likes of the Nasdaq<\/a> a pop higher to trap the perma-bulls and then proceed lower for the rest of the session.\u00a0 Yesterday\u2019s change in sentiment saw the gap get filled in the opposite direction.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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During the Asia-Pacific session the BoJ meeting minutes from June revealed that the members are optimistic that the Japanese economy will recover as the pandemic subsides. Most members expressed the view that it was appropriate for the Bank to maintain the following guideline. First, as for the short-term policy interest rate, it would apply a negative interest rate of minus 0.1 percent to the Policy-Rate Balances in current accounts held by financial institutions at the Bank. Second, as for the long-term interest rate, the Bank would purchase a necessary amount of JGBs without setting an upper limit so that 10-year JGB yields would remain at around 0 percent.<\/em><\/p>

The USDJPY<\/a> continues to move higher and has taken out yesterday\u2019s high, a close back above the daily 50 and 20 ema\u2019s will be a very good sign for the bulls. Japanese export data increased above expectations to 48.6% year-on-year. Marking the fourth consecutive monthly rise in sales.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The AUDUSD<\/a> is now acerating lower and a break below 0.7220 would quickly result in a move towards the 0.7000 level as there is little market structure left to act as a roadblock.<\/p>

Australian retail sales data has been heavily affected by the ongoing coronavirus lockdowns. Retail sales in Australia declined by 1.8% month-over-month in July 2021, compared with market expectations of a 0.4% fall.<\/p>

The UK borrowing data was release before the London open. Public sector net borrowing (excluding public sector banks, PSNB ex) was estimated to have been \u00a322.8 billion in June 2021; this was the second-highest June borrowing since monthly records began in 1993, \u00a35.5 billion less than in June 2020.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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See real-time quotes<\/a> provided by our partner.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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The GBPUSD<\/a> will continue to move lower on US dollar strength and as we are already under the daily 200 ema, I have used the Fibonacci extension tool to see where the price could be heading. A measured move to 1.3450 looks like a great first target. As that would also coincide with the September 2020 spike high. I will be looking for a reversal here and for price to then take out the 2021 double top. If we are in a bear trend, the recent support line which broke, would act as resistance and we can look for a reversal there to target the 1.3170 level which is the 161.80% fib extension. I don\u2019t see this just collapsing in one fell swoop.<\/p>

Energy traders will get the latest inventories today at 3.30pm BST and in the London session the ECB speakers may give the euro a nudge but as the ECB is in \u2018the quiet period\u2019 I am not expecting anything until after tomorrows data.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Daily Brief Has sentiment changed? Yesterday was a respite for the correction, todays forex heatmap looks to have returned to risk-off as the Swiss franc, US dollar and Japanese yen are all finding bids ahead of the London open and commodity pairs are depreciating. When this happened previously the equities tumbled a couple of percent […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":12221,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[5,2],"tags":[52,20,27,67,22],"yoast_head":"\nJapanese export data is bullish, but today\u2019s markets start risk-off - Youtrading UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/japanese-export-data-is-bullish-but-todays-markets-start-risk-off\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Japanese export data is bullish, but today\u2019s markets start risk-off\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Daily Brief Has sentiment changed? Yesterday was a respite for the correction, todays forex heatmap looks to have returned to risk-off as the Swiss franc, US dollar and Japanese yen are all finding bids ahead of the London open and commodity pairs are depreciating. When this happened previously the equities tumbled a couple of percent […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/japanese-export-data-is-bullish-but-todays-markets-start-risk-off\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Youtrading UK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/YouTradingEnglish\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-07-21T07:25:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-07-21T23:04:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GettyImages-694164094.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"509\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"307\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Neville Hornsey\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/japanese-export-data-is-bullish-but-todays-markets-start-risk-off\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/japanese-export-data-is-bullish-but-todays-markets-start-risk-off\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Neville Hornsey\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/95b20558021997bd74f4db43fabddf85\"},\"headline\":\"Japanese export data is bullish, but today\u2019s markets start risk-off\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-07-21T07:25:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-07-21T23:04:22+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/japanese-export-data-is-bullish-but-todays-markets-start-risk-off\/\"},\"wordCount\":593,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"AUDUSD\",\"GBPUSD\",\"NASDAQ\",\"US Dollar\",\"USDJPY\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Forex\",\"Markets\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/japanese-export-data-is-bullish-but-todays-markets-start-risk-off\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/japanese-export-data-is-bullish-but-todays-markets-start-risk-off\/\",\"name\":\"Japanese export data is bullish, but today\u2019s markets start risk-off - 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Neville has worked for several brokerages and prop firms, specialising in the Foreign exchange and Futures markets and blends technical analysis with fundamentals, with a bias towards swing and intraday trade setups.\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/author\/nevillehornsey\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Japanese export data is bullish, but today\u2019s markets start risk-off - Youtrading UK","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/youtrading.com\/en\/japanese-export-data-is-bullish-but-todays-markets-start-risk-off\/","og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"Japanese export data is bullish, but today\u2019s markets start risk-off","og_description":"Daily Brief Has sentiment changed? Yesterday was a respite for the correction, todays forex heatmap looks to have returned to risk-off as the Swiss franc, US dollar and Japanese yen are all finding bids ahead of the London open and commodity pairs are depreciating. 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